Abstract
Ushbu tadqiqotda Markaziy Osiyo florasi uchun muhim bo‘lgan endemik tur — Ferula sumbul (Kauffm.) Hook. f. turining Nurota davlat tabiat qo‘riqxonasidagi ekologik nishasi va potensial tarqalish hududlari BIOCLIM modeli asosida baholandi. Modellashtirish jarayonida relyef, iqlim, radiatsiya, atmosfera, vegetatsiya va tuproq omillarini o‘z ichiga olgan ekologik ma’lumotlar Google Earth Engine platformasidan olinib, korrelyatsiya tahlili orqali 17 ta mustaqil bashoratlovchi omil tanlab olindi. Model 9 ta haqiqiy mavjudlik nuqtalari asosida qurildi. Natijalarga ko‘ra, turning ekologik jihatdan qulay hududlari qo‘riqxonaning janubi-markaziy qismidagi past tog‘ yonbag‘irlari va tog‘ etaklari bilan chegaralanib, umumiy maydonning atigi 2,18 % ini (8,31 km²) tashkil etdi. O‘zgaruvchilar muhimligi va PCA natijalari turning ekologik nishasi asosan yonbag‘ir ekspozitsiyasi, nishablik va iqlim omillari bilan belgilanishini, tuproq va vegetatsiya omillari esa ikkilamchi rol o‘ynashini ko‘rsatdi. Olingan natijalar turning tor ekologik nishaga ega va iqlim o‘zgarishlariga sezgir ekanligini tasdiqlab, Nurota qo‘riqxonasida ushbu turning muhofazasi va monitoringini ilmiy asoslash uchun muhim ahamiyatga ega.
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